According to the methods of analyzing the supply chain risk management, describe the results about risk identifying, risk estimating and risk controlling for the risk producing among the operation process in supply chain, and analyze the results obtained, then give some resolving methods.
The probability of occurrence, occurrence time and holding time make the estimation of the multiresource, multidimensional, transmissible and dynamic characteristics of supply-chain risk more valuable to achieving the goal of risk assessment. A dynamic Bayesian network model of supply-chain risk is constructed to describe the property of supply-chain risk; the Bayesian inference tool is then used to estimate the corresponding parameters by maximum likelihood and inference for supply-chain risks. It is concluded that supply-chain risk changes with time and would converge at a certain stable interval, occurrence time and holding time satisfy several Poisson processes.
本文以番茄为研究对象,以旋转回归法为实验设计方案,以V C 含量、感官评定、仪器分析为指标,以层次分析法为分析手段,研究了番茄水煮过程中的食醋含量、料液比、水煮时间与品质质量之间的关系。结果表明,番茄的水煮介质为食醋,最佳烹调工艺为在食醋浓度0.054% 的溶液中,料液比1:1.4 条件下水煮5min。本研究为促进番茄水煮工艺标准化提供了理论依据。